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icon for Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

icon for Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

最新
2026-11-02
Polymarket

$5,764 交易量

Polymarket

June 30

$3,919 交易量

14%

November 2

$1,845 交易量

41%

On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump has publicly backed congressional efforts to temporarily suspend the 18.4-cent-per-gallon federal excise tax on gasoline and the 24.4-cent tax on diesel amid sharply higher pump prices tied to the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that began in February 2026. In May, Republican lawmakers introduced new bills, including Sen. Josh Hawley’s Gas Tax Suspension Act offering a 90-day pause extendable by the president and a parallel House measure, while earlier Democratic proposals such as the Gas Prices Relief Act sought suspension through October 1. Any change requires legislative approval and would reduce revenue for the Highway Trust Fund, creating procedural hurdles in a divided Congress. Traders are monitoring floor action, committee progress, and statements from key lawmakers on timelines for potential passage before summer driving season peaks.

On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,764
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump has publicly backed congressional efforts to temporarily suspend the 18.4-cent-per-gallon federal excise tax on gasoline and the 24.4-cent tax on diesel amid sharply higher pump prices tied to the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that began in February 2026. In May, Republican lawmakers introduced new bills, including Sen. Josh Hawley’s Gas Tax Suspension Act offering a 90-day pause extendable by the president and a parallel House measure, while earlier Democratic proposals such as the Gas Prices Relief Act sought suspension through October 1. Any change requires legislative approval and would reduce revenue for the Highway Trust Fund, creating procedural hurdles in a divided Congress. Traders are monitoring floor action, committee progress, and statements from key lawmakers on timelines for potential passage before summer driving season peaks.

On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,764
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "November 2" at 41%, followed by "June 30" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?" is "November 2" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.