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icon for FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者
選舉·主要

FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者
選舉·主要

FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者

$22,232 交易量

Polymarket

$22,232 交易量

奧利佛·亞當斯·拉金

$11,358 交易量

18%

賈里德·莫斯科維茨

$10,874 交易量

16%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Democratic primary for Florida’s 23rd congressional district on August 18 remains closely contested, with trader consensus reflecting a narrow edge for challenger Oliver Adams Larkin over incumbent Jared Moskowitz. Moskowitz benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $1.7 million, and prior polling leads among likely Democratic voters. Larkin, positioned as a progressive alternative emphasizing stronger opposition on key policy priorities, has gained traction through grassroots support and internal surveys showing shifts when voters compare candidate backgrounds. Limited recent developments, including ongoing fundraising reports and endorsements, have kept probabilities balanced ahead of the filing deadline and primary vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$22,232
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Democratic primary for Florida’s 23rd congressional district on August 18 remains closely contested, with trader consensus reflecting a narrow edge for challenger Oliver Adams Larkin over incumbent Jared Moskowitz. Moskowitz benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $1.7 million, and prior polling leads among likely Democratic voters. Larkin, positioned as a progressive alternative emphasizing stronger opposition on key policy priorities, has gained traction through grassroots support and internal surveys showing shifts when voters compare candidate backgrounds. Limited recent developments, including ongoing fundraising reports and endorsements, have kept probabilities balanced ahead of the filing deadline and primary vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$22,232
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "奧利佛·亞當斯·拉金" at 18%, followed by "賈里德·莫斯科維茨" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $22.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者" is "奧利佛·亞當斯·拉金" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "賈里德·莫斯科維茨" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-23民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.