**Paul Lefebvre holds a commanding lead in the Greater Sudbury mayoral market as the incumbent seeking re-election on October 26, 2026.** He benefits from a documented record of advancing 2022 campaign pledges, including major economic projects such as the Sandvik facility and provincial mine-rescue investments, which have reinforced perceptions of continuity and momentum heading into the vote. Nominations closed on August 21 with a fragmented field of challengers—including Miranda Rocca-Circelli, Bob Johnston, Rodney Newton, Joseph Boutros, Keenan Menard, and Troy Crowder—none of whom have generated significant polling visibility or broad organizational support. The low probabilities attached to these candidates reflect their limited name recognition and the structural advantages of incumbency in Ontario municipal contests. With electronic and advance voting periods beginning in mid-October, trader pricing appears anchored in the absence of late-breaking developments that could alter the competitive landscape before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Paul Lefebvre 79%
Miranda Rocca-Circelli 8%
Rodney Newton 3.2%
Joseph Boutros 2.1%
Paul Lefebvre
79%
Miranda Rocca-Circelli
8%
Rodney Newton
3%
Joseph Boutros
2%
Keenan Menard
2%
Troy Crowder
1%
Michael McIntosh
<1%
Bob Johnston
<1%
Paul Lefebvre 79%
Miranda Rocca-Circelli 8%
Rodney Newton 3.2%
Joseph Boutros 2.1%
Paul Lefebvre
79%
Miranda Rocca-Circelli
8%
Rodney Newton
3%
Joseph Boutros
2%
Keenan Menard
2%
Troy Crowder
1%
Michael McIntosh
<1%
Bob Johnston
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 2:35 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.
**Paul Lefebvre holds a commanding lead in the Greater Sudbury mayoral market as the incumbent seeking re-election on October 26, 2026.** He benefits from a documented record of advancing 2022 campaign pledges, including major economic projects such as the Sandvik facility and provincial mine-rescue investments, which have reinforced perceptions of continuity and momentum heading into the vote. Nominations closed on August 21 with a fragmented field of challengers—including Miranda Rocca-Circelli, Bob Johnston, Rodney Newton, Joseph Boutros, Keenan Menard, and Troy Crowder—none of whom have generated significant polling visibility or broad organizational support. The low probabilities attached to these candidates reflect their limited name recognition and the structural advantages of incumbency in Ontario municipal contests. With electronic and advance voting periods beginning in mid-October, trader pricing appears anchored in the absence of late-breaking developments that could alter the competitive landscape before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions