Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from major global systems, indicate Ankara’s July 10 maximum will likely settle near 29 °C under persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau. This ridge suppresses cloud cover and supports clear, dry conditions typical of mid-summer continental climate, aligning with historical July averages of 29–30 °C for daily highs. Current short-range guidance clusters tightly around 28–30 °C, which explains the market’s concentration of probability on those three outcomes (43.5 % at 29 °C, 20.5 % at 28 °C, 19.5 % at 30 °C). Minor model spread and potential afternoon wind or slight moisture shifts keep 28 °C and 30 °C viable, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月10日安卡拉的最高溫度？
7月10日安卡拉的最高溫度？
29°C 67%
28°C 17%
30°C 13%
27°C 2.9%
$18,382 交易量
$18,382 交易量
2026-07-10
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
17%
29°C
67%
30°C
13%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 67%
28°C 17%
30°C 13%
27°C 2.9%
$18,382 交易量
$18,382 交易量
2026-07-10
25°C or below
$416 交易量
<1%
26°C
$860 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,515 交易量
3%
28°C
$2,686 交易量
17%
29°C
$3,350 交易量
67%
30°C
$2,623 交易量
13%
31°C
$2,445 交易量
1%
32°C
$992 交易量
<1%
33°C
$700 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,530 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,265 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from major global systems, indicate Ankara’s July 10 maximum will likely settle near 29 °C under persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau. This ridge suppresses cloud cover and supports clear, dry conditions typical of mid-summer continental climate, aligning with historical July averages of 29–30 °C for daily highs. Current short-range guidance clusters tightly around 28–30 °C, which explains the market’s concentration of probability on those three outcomes (43.5 % at 29 °C, 20.5 % at 28 °C, 19.5 % at 30 °C). Minor model spread and potential afternoon wind or slight moisture shifts keep 28 °C and 30 °C viable, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$18,382結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from major global systems, indicate Ankara’s July 10 maximum will likely settle near 29 °C under persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau. This ridge suppresses cloud cover and supports clear, dry conditions typical of mid-summer continental climate, aligning with historical July averages of 29–30 °C for daily highs. Current short-range guidance clusters tightly around 28–30 °C, which explains the market’s concentration of probability on those three outcomes (43.5 % at 29 °C, 20.5 % at 28 °C, 19.5 % at 30 °C). Minor model spread and potential afternoon wind or slight moisture shifts keep 28 °C and 30 °C viable, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,382結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from major global systems, indicate Ankara’s July 10 maximum will likely settle near 29 °C under persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau. This ridge suppresses cloud cover and supports clear, dry conditions typical of mid-summer continental climate, aligning with historical July averages of 29–30 °C for daily highs. Current short-range guidance clusters tightly around 28–30 °C, which explains the market’s concentration of probability on those three outcomes (43.5 % at 29 °C, 20.5 % at 28 °C, 19.5 % at 30 °C). Minor model spread and potential afternoon wind or slight moisture shifts keep 28 °C and 30 °C viable, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions