Trader consensus around 18–19°C for Cape Town’s June 27 maximum reflects short-range forecast model spread typical of Southern Hemisphere winter conditions. The Benguela Current keeps baseline coastal temperatures mild, while passing Atlantic cold fronts and variable southeasterly or northwesterly winds can shift daily maxima by 2–3°C within 48 hours. Current ensemble guidance shows limited divergence in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, producing tightly clustered probabilities from 17–20°C. Measurement at the official Cape Town International Airport station further narrows outcomes, as local topography around Table Mountain can create microclimatic differences not fully resolved until the final model runs. No major synoptic feature has yet locked in a clearer signal ahead of the weekend.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月27日開普敦最高溫度?
18°C 38%
17°C 28%
16°C 23.4%
19°C 10%
$23,728 交易量
$23,728 交易量
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
23%
17°C
28%
18°C
38%
19°C
10%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C或更高
1%
18°C 38%
17°C 28%
16°C 23.4%
19°C 10%
$23,728 交易量
$23,728 交易量
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
23%
17°C
28%
18°C
38%
19°C
10%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 25, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus around 18–19°C for Cape Town’s June 27 maximum reflects short-range forecast model spread typical of Southern Hemisphere winter conditions. The Benguela Current keeps baseline coastal temperatures mild, while passing Atlantic cold fronts and variable southeasterly or northwesterly winds can shift daily maxima by 2–3°C within 48 hours. Current ensemble guidance shows limited divergence in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, producing tightly clustered probabilities from 17–20°C. Measurement at the official Cape Town International Airport station further narrows outcomes, as local topography around Table Mountain can create microclimatic differences not fully resolved until the final model runs. No major synoptic feature has yet locked in a clearer signal ahead of the weekend.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions