A strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月20日休斯敦的最高溫度？
7月20日休斯敦的最高溫度？
96-97°F 39%
98-99°F 27%
94-95°F 22%
92-93°F 8%
最新
$12,137 交易量
最新
$12,137 交易量
2026-07-20
華氏83度或以下
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
39%
98-99°F
27%
100-101°F
7%
華氏102度或更高
1%
96-97°F 39%
98-99°F 27%
94-95°F 22%
92-93°F 8%
最新
$12,137 交易量
最新
$12,137 交易量
2026-07-20
華氏83度或以下
$403 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$305 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$305 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$333 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$1,822 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$1,064 交易量
8%
94-95°F
$4,189 交易量
22%
96-97°F
$962 交易量
39%
98-99°F
$1,194 交易量
27%
100-101°F
$764 交易量
7%
華氏102度或更高
$795 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$12,137結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,137結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETA strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions