Trader consensus on the Kuala Lumpur temperature market shows closely matched implied probabilities for 32°C (32.5%) and 33°C (34.0%), reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convective activity typical of the southwest monsoon period. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and thundery showers—common in equatorial Malaysia during June—often suppress daily maxima below the seasonal average of roughly 32°C by limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent station observations from June 17 indicate similar suppression to 29°C under light southerly winds and overcast conditions. Official Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts and KLIA readings will determine resolution, with any brief clearing or delayed rainfall potentially allowing a spike to 33–34°C while model consensus favors modest warming.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月18日吉隆坡的最高溫度?
33°C 34%
32°C 33%
34°C 15.8%
31°C 13%
$22,711 交易量
$22,711 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
13%
32°C
33%
33°C
34%
34°C
16%
35°C
1%
36°C或以上
1%
33°C 34%
32°C 33%
34°C 15.8%
31°C 13%
$22,711 交易量
$22,711 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
13%
32°C
33%
33°C
34%
34°C
16%
35°C
1%
36°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on the Kuala Lumpur temperature market shows closely matched implied probabilities for 32°C (32.5%) and 33°C (34.0%), reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convective activity typical of the southwest monsoon period. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and thundery showers—common in equatorial Malaysia during June—often suppress daily maxima below the seasonal average of roughly 32°C by limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent station observations from June 17 indicate similar suppression to 29°C under light southerly winds and overcast conditions. Official Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts and KLIA readings will determine resolution, with any brief clearing or delayed rainfall potentially allowing a spike to 33–34°C while model consensus favors modest warming.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions