Trader consensus for Manila's June 27 maximum temperature centers on 30–33°C outcomes, reflecting PAGASA forecasts of highs near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon onset. Increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity from the habagat typically cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating, consistent with June climatology where averages hover around 31–32°C. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity—stronger monsoon bursts could suppress readings toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals allow brief climbs to 33°C. Model runs show divergence on convective activity over the next 48 hours, sustaining the tight spread in market-implied odds across these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月27日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
32°C 43%
33°C 40%
31°C 11%
34°C 7.0%
$16,311 交易量
$16,311 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
43%
33°C
40%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 43%
33°C 40%
31°C 11%
34°C 7.0%
$16,311 交易量
$16,311 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
43%
33°C
40%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus for Manila's June 27 maximum temperature centers on 30–33°C outcomes, reflecting PAGASA forecasts of highs near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon onset. Increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity from the habagat typically cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating, consistent with June climatology where averages hover around 31–32°C. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity—stronger monsoon bursts could suppress readings toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals allow brief climbs to 33°C. Model runs show divergence on convective activity over the next 48 hours, sustaining the tight spread in market-implied odds across these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions