Recent National Weather Service guidance and regional model consensus place Panama City’s June 26 high near 31–32 °C (88–90 °F), aligning with the market’s tight distribution around those outcomes. Late-June climatology features peak solar insolation and Gulf moisture, producing typical afternoon highs of 30–33 °C, modulated by the timing and coverage of sea-breeze thunderstorms that can cap temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly drier or later-developing storm pattern favors 32 °C, while earlier or more widespread convection supports 30–31 °C. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum, traders are weighting the latest model runs and mesonet observations that will refine these small but decisive variables before tomorrow’s peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月26日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
30°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
32°C <1%
31°C <1%
$27,406 交易量
$27,406 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
32°C <1%
31°C <1%
$27,406 交易量
$27,406 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service guidance and regional model consensus place Panama City’s June 26 high near 31–32 °C (88–90 °F), aligning with the market’s tight distribution around those outcomes. Late-June climatology features peak solar insolation and Gulf moisture, producing typical afternoon highs of 30–33 °C, modulated by the timing and coverage of sea-breeze thunderstorms that can cap temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly drier or later-developing storm pattern favors 32 °C, while earlier or more widespread convection supports 30–31 °C. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum, traders are weighting the latest model runs and mesonet observations that will refine these small but decisive variables before tomorrow’s peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions