**Trader consensus has coalesced at 21°C as the implied maximum temperature for São Paulo on June 17, reflecting near-certainty from operational forecast models.** Subtropical winter patterns over southeastern Brazil currently feature stable high pressure, modest southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that supports daytime heating to this level without significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Official guidance from agencies such as INMET and global ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) consistently project afternoon highs in the 20–22°C range, with 21°C falling squarely in the most probable bin given typical diurnal ranges and urban heat-island effects in the metropolitan area. Historical June maxima average near 22°C, so this outcome aligns with climatology absent strong anomalies. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at primary stations; only a late-day frontal passage or substantial model error could realistically shift the observed peak outside the 21°C threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月17日聖保羅的最高溫度？
6月17日聖保羅的最高溫度？
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$35,253 交易量
$35,253 交易量
2026-06-17
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$35,253 交易量
$35,253 交易量
2026-06-17
13°C or below
$259 交易量
<1%
14°C
$193 交易量
<1%
15°C
$386 交易量
<1%
16°C
$805 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,761 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,130 交易量
<1%
19°C
$8,167 交易量
<1%
20°C
$6,044 交易量
<1%
21°C
$6,857 交易量
100%
22°C
$4,188 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$4,464 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced at 21°C as the implied maximum temperature for São Paulo on June 17, reflecting near-certainty from operational forecast models.** Subtropical winter patterns over southeastern Brazil currently feature stable high pressure, modest southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that supports daytime heating to this level without significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Official guidance from agencies such as INMET and global ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) consistently project afternoon highs in the 20–22°C range, with 21°C falling squarely in the most probable bin given typical diurnal ranges and urban heat-island effects in the metropolitan area. Historical June maxima average near 22°C, so this outcome aligns with climatology absent strong anomalies. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at primary stations; only a late-day frontal passage or substantial model error could realistically shift the observed peak outside the 21°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$35,253結束日期
2026-06-17市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced at 21°C as the implied maximum temperature for São Paulo on June 17, reflecting near-certainty from operational forecast models.** Subtropical winter patterns over southeastern Brazil currently feature stable high pressure, modest southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that supports daytime heating to this level without significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Official guidance from agencies such as INMET and global ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) consistently project afternoon highs in the 20–22°C range, with 21°C falling squarely in the most probable bin given typical diurnal ranges and urban heat-island effects in the metropolitan area. Historical June maxima average near 22°C, so this outcome aligns with climatology absent strong anomalies. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at primary stations; only a late-day frontal passage or substantial model error could realistically shift the observed peak outside the 21°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,253結束日期
2026-06-17市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET**Trader consensus has coalesced at 21°C as the implied maximum temperature for São Paulo on June 17, reflecting near-certainty from operational forecast models.** Subtropical winter patterns over southeastern Brazil currently feature stable high pressure, modest southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that supports daytime heating to this level without significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Official guidance from agencies such as INMET and global ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) consistently project afternoon highs in the 20–22°C range, with 21°C falling squarely in the most probable bin given typical diurnal ranges and urban heat-island effects in the metropolitan area. Historical June maxima average near 22°C, so this outcome aligns with climatology absent strong anomalies. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at primary stations; only a late-day frontal passage or substantial model error could realistically shift the observed peak outside the 21°C threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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