**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 29 maximum temperature centers on 25–26°C outcomes (combined ~67.5% implied probability) because short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance cluster in that narrow band under typical austral winter conditions.** São Paulo’s elevation near 760 m and its subtropical high-pressure ridge produce light winds, limited moisture, and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Recent model runs show only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation, which can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical June climatology from INMET places average highs at 21–23°C, but recent observations (including a 25.7°C reading earlier in the month) indicate a mild pattern that supports the upper end of the seasonal range. No strong cold front or clear-sky surge is expected, keeping upside potential low and preventing 27°C+ from gaining traction. Minor forecast revisions on cloud timing or wind strength will likely decide whether the peak settles at 25°C or 26°C before official INMET verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月29日聖保羅的最高溫度？
6月29日聖保羅的最高溫度？
26°C 35%
25°C 28%
24°C 21%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-29
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
21%
25°C
28%
26°C
35%
27°C
12%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 35%
25°C 28%
24°C 21%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-29
20°C or below
$1,394 交易量
<1%
21°C
$82 交易量
1%
22°C
$157 交易量
1%
23°C
$105 交易量
3%
24°C
$671 交易量
21%
25°C
$192 交易量
28%
26°C
$575 交易量
35%
27°C
$101 交易量
12%
28°C
$31 交易量
4%
29°C
$131 交易量
2%
30°C or higher
$725 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 29 maximum temperature centers on 25–26°C outcomes (combined ~67.5% implied probability) because short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance cluster in that narrow band under typical austral winter conditions.**
São Paulo’s elevation near 760 m and its subtropical high-pressure ridge produce light winds, limited moisture, and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Recent model runs show only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation, which can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical June climatology from INMET places average highs at 21–23°C, but recent observations (including a 25.7°C reading earlier in the month) indicate a mild pattern that supports the upper end of the seasonal range. No strong cold front or clear-sky surge is expected, keeping upside potential low and preventing 27°C+ from gaining traction. Minor forecast revisions on cloud timing or wind strength will likely decide whether the peak settles at 25°C or 26°C before official INMET verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 27, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
交易量
$4,164結束日期
2026-06-29市場開放時間
Jun 27, 2026, 9:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 29 maximum temperature centers on 25–26°C outcomes (combined ~67.5% implied probability) because short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance cluster in that narrow band under typical austral winter conditions.**
São Paulo’s elevation near 760 m and its subtropical high-pressure ridge produce light winds, limited moisture, and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Recent model runs show only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation, which can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical June climatology from INMET places average highs at 21–23°C, but recent observations (including a 25.7°C reading earlier in the month) indicate a mild pattern that supports the upper end of the seasonal range. No strong cold front or clear-sky surge is expected, keeping upside potential low and preventing 27°C+ from gaining traction. Minor forecast revisions on cloud timing or wind strength will likely decide whether the peak settles at 25°C or 26°C before official INMET verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,164結束日期
2026-06-29市場開放時間
Jun 27, 2026, 9:01 PM ET**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 29 maximum temperature centers on 25–26°C outcomes (combined ~67.5% implied probability) because short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance cluster in that narrow band under typical austral winter conditions.** São Paulo’s elevation near 760 m and its subtropical high-pressure ridge produce light winds, limited moisture, and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Recent model runs show only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation, which can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical June climatology from INMET places average highs at 21–23°C, but recent observations (including a 25.7°C reading earlier in the month) indicate a mild pattern that supports the upper end of the seasonal range. No strong cold front or clear-sky surge is expected, keeping upside potential low and preventing 27°C+ from gaining traction. Minor forecast revisions on cloud timing or wind strength will likely decide whether the peak settles at 25°C or 26°C before official INMET verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions