Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月12日上海最高溫度？
7月12日上海最高溫度？
30°C 37%
29°C 26%
32°C 17.1%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
26%
30°C
37%
31°C
14%
32°C
17%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 37%
29°C 26%
32°C 17.1%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
25°C or below
$53 交易量
<1%
26°C
$49 交易量
1%
27°C
$306 交易量
4%
28°C
$47 交易量
7%
29°C
$89 交易量
26%
30°C
$60 交易量
37%
31°C
$0 交易量
14%
32°C
$41 交易量
17%
33°C
$22 交易量
3%
34°C
$43 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$47 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$712結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$712結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETForecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions