Market-implied odds place the highest probability on a 32°C peak for Singapore on July 17, followed closely by 31°C, reflecting short-range forecast consensus from regional models showing typical July equatorial conditions with afternoon highs near the long-term average of 31–32°C. Persistent high humidity, urban heat-island effects, and light winds favor modest warming, while scattered convection and possible cloud cover introduce uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders weigh historical July extremes—rarely below 30°C or above 34°C—against evolving guidance on steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Updated model runs and official Meteorological Service Singapore briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as resolution criteria focus on the single highest recorded value.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡7月17日的最高溫度?
32°C 41%
31°C 31%
33°C 20%
30°C 10%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
31%
32°C
41%
33°C
20%
34°C
4%
35°C或以上
1%
32°C 41%
31°C 31%
33°C 20%
30°C 10%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
31%
32°C
41%
33°C
20%
34°C
4%
35°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market-implied odds place the highest probability on a 32°C peak for Singapore on July 17, followed closely by 31°C, reflecting short-range forecast consensus from regional models showing typical July equatorial conditions with afternoon highs near the long-term average of 31–32°C. Persistent high humidity, urban heat-island effects, and light winds favor modest warming, while scattered convection and possible cloud cover introduce uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders weigh historical July extremes—rarely below 30°C or above 34°C—against evolving guidance on steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Updated model runs and official Meteorological Service Singapore briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as resolution criteria focus on the single highest recorded value.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions