South Korean President Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, which shields sitting presidents from criminal prosecution except in cases of insurrection or treason through the end of his term in 2030. This protection prompted courts to indefinitely suspend all prior trials on charges ranging from election law violations to development graft and alleged remittances to North Korea. No new indictments or enforcement actions have emerged in recent months to test these limits, while opposition calls for impeachment or special investigations have gained little procedural traction. Traders therefore assign an 89.9 percent implied probability that Lee will avoid arrest before 2027, consistent with the structural barriers and absence of immediate legal catalysts.