Forecast models from major centers show a narrow spread in expected overnight minimum temperatures for London on June 27, driven by variable cloud cover and light winds that will modulate radiative cooling under high pressure. Clearer skies in some ensemble members allow greater heat loss, favoring readings near 19–20 °C, while increased humidity and a subtle southerly flow in others limit cooling and support 22–23 °C. The market’s tight clustering around 21–22 °C reflects this model consensus amid typical late-June variability, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour forecast updates from the Met Office and ECMWF. Urban heat-island effects and precise timing of any frontal passage add further uncertainty to the exact lowest reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月27日倫敦的最低溫度?
22°C 50%
21°C 27%
20°C 8.0%
19°C 5.9%
$16,541 交易量
$16,541 交易量
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
14%
21°C
27%
22°C
53%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C 或以上
<1%
22°C 50%
21°C 27%
20°C 8.0%
19°C 5.9%
$16,541 交易量
$16,541 交易量
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
14%
21°C
27%
22°C
53%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C 或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from major centers show a narrow spread in expected overnight minimum temperatures for London on June 27, driven by variable cloud cover and light winds that will modulate radiative cooling under high pressure. Clearer skies in some ensemble members allow greater heat loss, favoring readings near 19–20 °C, while increased humidity and a subtle southerly flow in others limit cooling and support 22–23 °C. The market’s tight clustering around 21–22 °C reflects this model consensus amid typical late-June variability, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour forecast updates from the Met Office and ECMWF. Urban heat-island effects and precise timing of any frontal passage add further uncertainty to the exact lowest reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions