Closely matched probabilities across 17–21°C for Seoul’s lowest temperature on June 27 stem from short-range ensemble model spreads in overnight radiative cooling under variable early-summer conditions. The Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show modest uncertainty driven by increasing humidity, scattered cloud cover, and the first influences of the East Asian monsoon, which can suppress nighttime temperature drops by 1–3°C compared to clear-sky scenarios. Historical climatology places late-June average lows near 18–19°C, with recent runs indicating sensitivity to precipitation timing and wind patterns that determine whether the minimum settles near 18°C or edges higher. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月27日首爾最低溫度？
6月27日首爾最低溫度？
20°C 97.1%
19°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
$14,228 交易量
最新
$14,228 交易量
2026-06-27
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
97%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
20°C 97.1%
19°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
$14,228 交易量
最新
$14,228 交易量
2026-06-27
15°C或以下
$510 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,159 交易量
<1%
17°C
$774 交易量
1%
18°C
$780 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,095 交易量
1%
20°C
$5,449 交易量
97%
21°C
$1,657 交易量
<1%
22°C
$592 交易量
<1%
23°C
$721 交易量
<1%
24°C
$979 交易量
<1%
25°C或以上
$513 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Closely matched probabilities across 17–21°C for Seoul’s lowest temperature on June 27 stem from short-range ensemble model spreads in overnight radiative cooling under variable early-summer conditions. The Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show modest uncertainty driven by increasing humidity, scattered cloud cover, and the first influences of the East Asian monsoon, which can suppress nighttime temperature drops by 1–3°C compared to clear-sky scenarios. Historical climatology places late-June average lows near 18–19°C, with recent runs indicating sensitivity to precipitation timing and wind patterns that determine whether the minimum settles near 18°C or edges higher. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$14,228結束日期
2026-06-27市場開放時間
Jun 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Closely matched probabilities across 17–21°C for Seoul’s lowest temperature on June 27 stem from short-range ensemble model spreads in overnight radiative cooling under variable early-summer conditions. The Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show modest uncertainty driven by increasing humidity, scattered cloud cover, and the first influences of the East Asian monsoon, which can suppress nighttime temperature drops by 1–3°C compared to clear-sky scenarios. Historical climatology places late-June average lows near 18–19°C, with recent runs indicating sensitivity to precipitation timing and wind patterns that determine whether the minimum settles near 18°C or edges higher. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,228結束日期
2026-06-27市場開放時間
Jun 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETClosely matched probabilities across 17–21°C for Seoul’s lowest temperature on June 27 stem from short-range ensemble model spreads in overnight radiative cooling under variable early-summer conditions. The Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show modest uncertainty driven by increasing humidity, scattered cloud cover, and the first influences of the East Asian monsoon, which can suppress nighttime temperature drops by 1–3°C compared to clear-sky scenarios. Historical climatology places late-June average lows near 18–19°C, with recent runs indicating sensitivity to precipitation timing and wind patterns that determine whether the minimum settles near 18°C or edges higher. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions