Google's I/O 2026 keynote in mid-May positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for June general availability after shipping the lighter Flash variant immediately, yet the model remains in testing with no confirmed release by late June. This delay, amid internal validation for advanced reasoning, 2-million-token context, and "Deep Think" capabilities, has traders assigning a modest edge to no release by July 31. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, plus Google's history of iterative previews before broad rollout, creates the tight clustering around July dates. Key swing factors include successful benchmark results or enterprise feedback that could accelerate availability, while supply-chain or safety reviews could push timelines further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於截至7月31日沒有發佈 74%
7月19日 65%
7 月 10 日 59%
7 月 14 日 53%
在 7 月 1 日或之前
29%
7 月 2 日
13%
7 月 3 日
37%
7 月 4 日
40%
7 月 5 日
39%
7月6日
2%
7 月 7 日
42%
7 月 8 日
18%
7 月 9 日
37%
7 月 10 日
59%
7 月 11 日
44%
7 月 12 日
20%
7月13日
42%
7 月 14 日
53%
July 15
2%
7 月 16 日
39%
7 月 17 日
2%
7 月 18 日
44%
7月19日
65%
7 月 20 日
17%
7 月 21 日
34%
7 月 22 日
37%
7 月 23 日
2%
7 月 24 日
19%
July 25
38%
7 月 26 日
23%
7 月 27 日
37%
7月28日
38%
7 月 29 日
37%
7 月 30 日
37%
7 月 31 日
40%
截至7月31日沒有發佈
71%
截至7月31日沒有發佈 74%
7月19日 65%
7 月 10 日 59%
7 月 14 日 53%
在 7 月 1 日或之前
29%
7 月 2 日
13%
7 月 3 日
37%
7 月 4 日
40%
7 月 5 日
39%
7月6日
2%
7 月 7 日
42%
7 月 8 日
18%
7 月 9 日
37%
7 月 10 日
59%
7 月 11 日
44%
7 月 12 日
20%
7月13日
42%
7 月 14 日
53%
July 15
2%
7 月 16 日
39%
7 月 17 日
2%
7 月 18 日
44%
7月19日
65%
7 月 20 日
17%
7 月 21 日
34%
7 月 22 日
37%
7 月 23 日
2%
7 月 24 日
19%
July 25
38%
7 月 26 日
23%
7 月 27 日
37%
7月28日
38%
7 月 29 日
37%
7 月 30 日
37%
7 月 31 日
40%
截至7月31日沒有發佈
71%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's I/O 2026 keynote in mid-May positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for June general availability after shipping the lighter Flash variant immediately, yet the model remains in testing with no confirmed release by late June. This delay, amid internal validation for advanced reasoning, 2-million-token context, and "Deep Think" capabilities, has traders assigning a modest edge to no release by July 31. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, plus Google's history of iterative previews before broad rollout, creates the tight clustering around July dates. Key swing factors include successful benchmark results or enterprise feedback that could accelerate availability, while supply-chain or safety reviews could push timelines further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions