Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the May 19 Gemini 3.5 Flash release has anchored trader sentiment, with Sundar Pichai explicitly directing attention to June availability. The model remains in limited preview and internal testing as of early June, with no subsequent official confirmation of an earlier rollout, which explains the heavy weighting toward late-month dates like June 30. Competitive positioning against frontier rivals on reasoning and agentic benchmarks, combined with Google's pattern of iterative Pro releases after Flash variants, reinforces the implied probability around end-of-month timing while leaving room for slippage. Key catalysts ahead include any developer conference updates or API changelog entries that could shift the narrow June 23 window or push resolution past June 30.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6 月 30 日 62%
在6月30日前不會發布 18.4%
6 月 23 日 13%
6 月 18 日 4%
$124,687 交易量
$124,687 交易量
2026-06-30
6 月 14 日
<1%
6 月 15 日
<1%
6 月 16 日
2%
6 月 17 日
1%
6 月 18 日
4%
6 月 19 日
<1%
6月20日
<1%
6 月 21 日
<1%
6 月 22 日
<1%
6 月 23 日
13%
6 月 24 日
<1%
6 月 25 日
<1%
6 月 26 日
4%
6 月 27 日
<1%
6 月 28 日
<1%
6 月 29 日
<1%
6 月 30 日
62%
在6月30日前不會發布
18%
6 月 30 日 62%
在6月30日前不會發布 18.4%
6 月 23 日 13%
6 月 18 日 4%
$124,687 交易量
$124,687 交易量
2026-06-30
6 月 14 日
$2,635 交易量
<1%
6 月 15 日
$1,939 交易量
<1%
6 月 16 日
$3,411 交易量
2%
6 月 17 日
$3,532 交易量
1%
6 月 18 日
$2,597 交易量
4%
6 月 19 日
$2,548 交易量
<1%
6月20日
$1,629 交易量
<1%
6 月 21 日
$1,501 交易量
<1%
6 月 22 日
$5,778 交易量
<1%
6 月 23 日
$5,626 交易量
13%
6 月 24 日
$4,326 交易量
<1%
6 月 25 日
$2,418 交易量
<1%
6 月 26 日
$4,814 交易量
4%
6 月 27 日
$2,019 交易量
<1%
6 月 28 日
$1,416 交易量
<1%
6 月 29 日
$1,805 交易量
<1%
6 月 30 日
$6,769 交易量
62%
在6月30日前不會發布
$20,334 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the May 19 Gemini 3.5 Flash release has anchored trader sentiment, with Sundar Pichai explicitly directing attention to June availability. The model remains in limited preview and internal testing as of early June, with no subsequent official confirmation of an earlier rollout, which explains the heavy weighting toward late-month dates like June 30. Competitive positioning against frontier rivals on reasoning and agentic benchmarks, combined with Google's pattern of iterative Pro releases after Flash variants, reinforces the implied probability around end-of-month timing while leaving room for slippage. Key catalysts ahead include any developer conference updates or API changelog entries that could shift the narrow June 23 window or push resolution past June 30.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
交易量
$124,687結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the May 19 Gemini 3.5 Flash release has anchored trader sentiment, with Sundar Pichai explicitly directing attention to June availability. The model remains in limited preview and internal testing as of early June, with no subsequent official confirmation of an earlier rollout, which explains the heavy weighting toward late-month dates like June 30. Competitive positioning against frontier rivals on reasoning and agentic benchmarks, combined with Google's pattern of iterative Pro releases after Flash variants, reinforces the implied probability around end-of-month timing while leaving room for slippage. Key catalysts ahead include any developer conference updates or API changelog entries that could shift the narrow June 23 window or push resolution past June 30.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$124,687結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the May 19 Gemini 3.5 Flash release has anchored trader sentiment, with Sundar Pichai explicitly directing attention to June availability. The model remains in limited preview and internal testing as of early June, with no subsequent official confirmation of an earlier rollout, which explains the heavy weighting toward late-month dates like June 30. Competitive positioning against frontier rivals on reasoning and agentic benchmarks, combined with Google's pattern of iterative Pro releases after Flash variants, reinforces the implied probability around end-of-month timing while leaving room for slippage. Key catalysts ahead include any developer conference updates or API changelog entries that could shift the narrow June 23 window or push resolution past June 30.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions