OpenAI's accelerated model cadence after launching GPT-5.5 on April 23 is the main driver behind current trader sentiment for GPT-5.6. Internal Codex logs recently exposed routing entries and codenames such as ember-alpha and beacon-alpha, confirming that early checkpoints entered testing within days of the prior release. This rapid iteration reflects competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude Code and Google's Gemini variants, both pushing frontier large language models toward stronger agentic coding and multi-step reasoning benchmarks. Historical patterns point to a potential public rollout in early to mid-June via API or ChatGPT updates, though timelines remain fluid given typical slippage in training and safety evaluations. Traders are watching for official announcements or benchmark leaks that could shift implied probabilities ahead of summer resolution windows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$44,198 交易量
2026-05-15
5 月 15 日
<1%
5 月 22 日
5%
5月31日
16%
June 15
78%
June 30
92%
July 31
94%
$44,198 交易量
5 月 15 日
$12,673 交易量
<1%
5 月 22 日
$6,159 交易量
5%
5月31日
$14,698 交易量
16%
June 15
$0 交易量
78%
June 30
$7,888 交易量
92%
July 31
$2,780 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerated model cadence after launching GPT-5.5 on April 23 is the main driver behind current trader sentiment for GPT-5.6. Internal Codex logs recently exposed routing entries and codenames such as ember-alpha and beacon-alpha, confirming that early checkpoints entered testing within days of the prior release. This rapid iteration reflects competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude Code and Google's Gemini variants, both pushing frontier large language models toward stronger agentic coding and multi-step reasoning benchmarks. Historical patterns point to a potential public rollout in early to mid-June via API or ChatGPT updates, though timelines remain fluid given typical slippage in training and safety evaluations. Traders are watching for official announcements or benchmark leaks that could shift implied probabilities ahead of summer resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 1, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
交易量
$44,198結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerated model cadence after launching GPT-5.5 on April 23 is the main driver behind current trader sentiment for GPT-5.6. Internal Codex logs recently exposed routing entries and codenames such as ember-alpha and beacon-alpha, confirming that early checkpoints entered testing within days of the prior release. This rapid iteration reflects competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude Code and Google's Gemini variants, both pushing frontier large language models toward stronger agentic coding and multi-step reasoning benchmarks. Historical patterns point to a potential public rollout in early to mid-June via API or ChatGPT updates, though timelines remain fluid given typical slippage in training and safety evaluations. Traders are watching for official announcements or benchmark leaks that could shift implied probabilities ahead of summer resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$44,198結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's accelerated model cadence after launching GPT-5.5 on April 23 is the main driver behind current trader sentiment for GPT-5.6. Internal Codex logs recently exposed routing entries and codenames such as ember-alpha and beacon-alpha, confirming that early checkpoints entered testing within days of the prior release. This rapid iteration reflects competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude Code and Google's Gemini variants, both pushing frontier large language models toward stronger agentic coding and multi-step reasoning benchmarks. Historical patterns point to a potential public rollout in early to mid-June via API or ChatGPT updates, though timelines remain fluid given typical slippage in training and safety evaluations. Traders are watching for official announcements or benchmark leaks that could shift implied probabilities ahead of summer resolution windows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions