Anthropic's June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 established Mythos-class as the new frontier tier above Opus, featuring advanced agentic capabilities with tiered safeguards that steer high-risk queries like cybersecurity or biology to lower models. This set the benchmark traders are now pricing, as competitors race to match or surpass it. OpenAI's July GPT-5.6 Sol family and xAI's August Grok 4.6 update have closed some capability gaps on benchmarks but lack confirmed Mythos-equivalent scale or safeguards for general release. Google continues incremental Gemini 3.x refreshes while Anthropic ships frequent Opus iterations. Key catalysts ahead include any official announcements on parameter scale, new agentic benchmarks, or regulatory approvals that could shift the next public Mythos-class debut.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
$144,352 交易量
August 31
26%
9月15日
65%
September 30
78%
$144,352 交易量
August 31
26%
9月15日
65%
September 30
78%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 9:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 established Mythos-class as the new frontier tier above Opus, featuring advanced agentic capabilities with tiered safeguards that steer high-risk queries like cybersecurity or biology to lower models. This set the benchmark traders are now pricing, as competitors race to match or surpass it. OpenAI's July GPT-5.6 Sol family and xAI's August Grok 4.6 update have closed some capability gaps on benchmarks but lack confirmed Mythos-equivalent scale or safeguards for general release. Google continues incremental Gemini 3.x refreshes while Anthropic ships frequent Opus iterations. Key catalysts ahead include any official announcements on parameter scale, new agentic benchmarks, or regulatory approvals that could shift the next public Mythos-class debut.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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