Democratic incumbent Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination with nearly 80% of the vote in the June 23 primary, establishing a clear path to the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Mike LiPetri. The district's underlying partisan lean and Suozzi's prior service as representative and Nassau County executive have anchored trader consensus around an 85.5% implied probability for Democrats. Limited recent developments, including stable fundraising and no major shifts in the race since the primary concluded, have kept Republican chances near 15%. The general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign dynamics but few immediate catalysts appear positioned to alter the current market positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$11,186 交易量
$11,186 交易量
2026-11-04
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
15%
$11,186 交易量
$11,186 交易量
2026-11-04
Democratic Party
$4,266 交易量
86%
Republican Party
$6,920 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination with nearly 80% of the vote in the June 23 primary, establishing a clear path to the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Mike LiPetri. The district's underlying partisan lean and Suozzi's prior service as representative and Nassau County executive have anchored trader consensus around an 85.5% implied probability for Democrats. Limited recent developments, including stable fundraising and no major shifts in the race since the primary concluded, have kept Republican chances near 15%. The general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign dynamics but few immediate catalysts appear positioned to alter the current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
交易量
$11,186結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination with nearly 80% of the vote in the June 23 primary, establishing a clear path to the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Mike LiPetri. The district's underlying partisan lean and Suozzi's prior service as representative and Nassau County executive have anchored trader consensus around an 85.5% implied probability for Democrats. Limited recent developments, including stable fundraising and no major shifts in the race since the primary concluded, have kept Republican chances near 15%. The general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign dynamics but few immediate catalysts appear positioned to alter the current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,186結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination with nearly 80% of the vote in the June 23 primary, establishing a clear path to the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Mike LiPetri. The district's underlying partisan lean and Suozzi's prior service as representative and Nassau County executive have anchored trader consensus around an 85.5% implied probability for Democrats. Limited recent developments, including stable fundraising and no major shifts in the race since the primary concluded, have kept Republican chances near 15%. The general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign dynamics but few immediate catalysts appear positioned to alter the current market positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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