Nicole Malliotakis, the Republican incumbent, maintains a commanding lead in the NY-11 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, rooted in Staten Island voting patterns and prior election margins exceeding 20 points. Primary results confirmed Michael DeCillis as the Democratic nominee following the June 23 contest, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on structural advantages like incumbency and fundraising. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals while pricing in limited upside for challengers. Potential shifts could arise from ongoing state court redistricting efforts that might alter boundaries before November, a significant national midterm swing, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$25,855 交易量
$25,855 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
94%
民主黨
8%
$25,855 交易量
$25,855 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$12,761 交易量
94%
民主黨
$13,094 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nicole Malliotakis, the Republican incumbent, maintains a commanding lead in the NY-11 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, rooted in Staten Island voting patterns and prior election margins exceeding 20 points. Primary results confirmed Michael DeCillis as the Democratic nominee following the June 23 contest, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on structural advantages like incumbency and fundraising. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals while pricing in limited upside for challengers. Potential shifts could arise from ongoing state court redistricting efforts that might alter boundaries before November, a significant national midterm swing, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$25,855結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nicole Malliotakis, the Republican incumbent, maintains a commanding lead in the NY-11 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, rooted in Staten Island voting patterns and prior election margins exceeding 20 points. Primary results confirmed Michael DeCillis as the Democratic nominee following the June 23 contest, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on structural advantages like incumbency and fundraising. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals while pricing in limited upside for challengers. Potential shifts could arise from ongoing state court redistricting efforts that might alter boundaries before November, a significant national midterm swing, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,855結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nicole Malliotakis, the Republican incumbent, maintains a commanding lead in the NY-11 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, rooted in Staten Island voting patterns and prior election margins exceeding 20 points. Primary results confirmed Michael DeCillis as the Democratic nominee following the June 23 contest, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on structural advantages like incumbency and fundraising. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals while pricing in limited upside for challengers. Potential shifts could arise from ongoing state court redistricting efforts that might alter boundaries before November, a significant national midterm swing, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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