New York’s 14th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by its partisan voting index and consistent support for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote, facing only minor intra-party opposition. The Republican nominee, Diamant Hysenaj, has raised limited funds and operates in a district where analysts across multiple rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, though late-cycle developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still alter the general election outcome on November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$43,272 交易量
$43,272 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
95%
共和黨
6%
$43,272 交易量
$43,272 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$29,734 交易量
95%
共和黨
$13,538 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 14th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by its partisan voting index and consistent support for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote, facing only minor intra-party opposition. The Republican nominee, Diamant Hysenaj, has raised limited funds and operates in a district where analysts across multiple rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, though late-cycle developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still alter the general election outcome on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$43,272結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 14th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by its partisan voting index and consistent support for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote, facing only minor intra-party opposition. The Republican nominee, Diamant Hysenaj, has raised limited funds and operates in a district where analysts across multiple rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, though late-cycle developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still alter the general election outcome on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$43,272結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 14th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by its partisan voting index and consistent support for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote, facing only minor intra-party opposition. The Republican nominee, Diamant Hysenaj, has raised limited funds and operates in a district where analysts across multiple rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, though late-cycle developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still alter the general election outcome on November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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