Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's incumbency in the heavily Democratic New York 14th district, covering parts of the Bronx and Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting her consistent primary and general election margins, superior fundraising exceeding $32 million, and the Republican opponent's limited resources and visibility. Primaries concluded in June 2026 with Ocasio-Cortez advancing unopposed in key party contests and Diamant Hysenaj as the GOP nominee. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make significant shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$43,272 交易量
$43,272 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
95%
共和黨
6%
$43,272 交易量
$43,272 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$29,734 交易量
95%
共和黨
$13,538 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's incumbency in the heavily Democratic New York 14th district, covering parts of the Bronx and Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting her consistent primary and general election margins, superior fundraising exceeding $32 million, and the Republican opponent's limited resources and visibility. Primaries concluded in June 2026 with Ocasio-Cortez advancing unopposed in key party contests and Diamant Hysenaj as the GOP nominee. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make significant shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$43,272結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's incumbency in the heavily Democratic New York 14th district, covering parts of the Bronx and Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting her consistent primary and general election margins, superior fundraising exceeding $32 million, and the Republican opponent's limited resources and visibility. Primaries concluded in June 2026 with Ocasio-Cortez advancing unopposed in key party contests and Diamant Hysenaj as the GOP nominee. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make significant shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$43,272結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's incumbency in the heavily Democratic New York 14th district, covering parts of the Bronx and Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting her consistent primary and general election margins, superior fundraising exceeding $32 million, and the Republican opponent's limited resources and visibility. Primaries concluded in June 2026 with Ocasio-Cortez advancing unopposed in key party contests and Diamant Hysenaj as the GOP nominee. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make significant shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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