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icon for 奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者
政治·參議院初選

奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

icon for 奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者
政治·參議院初選

奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

凱文·赫恩 95%

約翰·M·奧康納 <1%

Wayne Lonny Washington <1%

尼克·漢金斯 <1%

Polymarket

$59,653 交易量

凱文·赫恩 95%

約翰·M·奧康納 <1%

Wayne Lonny Washington <1%

尼克·漢金斯 <1%

Polymarket

$59,653 交易量

凱文·赫恩

$11,938 交易量

95%

約翰·M·奧康納

$1,083 交易量

1%

Wayne Lonny Washington

$1,255 交易量

1%

尼克·漢金斯

$859 交易量

1%

史蒂芬妮·拜斯

$2,879 交易量

1%

馬克韋恩·穆林

$37,901 交易量

<1%

Donelle Harder

$893 交易量

<1%

Ron Meinhardt

$1,197 交易量

<1%

Tammy Swearengin

$837 交易量

<1%

馬特·皮內爾

$811 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Kevin Hern’s March 2026 announcement for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat, following Sen. Markwayne Mullin’s confirmation as Homeland Security secretary and subsequent resignation, has produced overwhelming Republican primary consolidation behind the congressman. President Trump’s endorsement and Hern’s established fundraising network, congressional record, and alignment with state party priorities have minimized visible opposition from the minor candidates who filed by the April deadline. Traders reflect this dominance through a 95 percent implied probability for Hern ahead of the June 16 primary. A late high-profile entrant or sudden shift in major endorsements could still introduce competition, though no such developments have materialized in recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$59,653
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Kevin Hern’s March 2026 announcement for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat, following Sen. Markwayne Mullin’s confirmation as Homeland Security secretary and subsequent resignation, has produced overwhelming Republican primary consolidation behind the congressman. President Trump’s endorsement and Hern’s established fundraising network, congressional record, and alignment with state party priorities have minimized visible opposition from the minor candidates who filed by the April deadline. Traders reflect this dominance through a 95 percent implied probability for Hern ahead of the June 16 primary. A late high-profile entrant or sudden shift in major endorsements could still introduce competition, though no such developments have materialized in recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$59,653
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "凱文·赫恩" at 95%, followed by "約翰·M·奧康納" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $59.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "凱文·赫恩" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "約翰·M·奧康納" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.