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政治·主要

愛達荷州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

icon for 愛達荷州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者
政治·主要

愛達荷州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

$11,602 交易量

Polymarket

$11,602 交易量

吉姆·里施

$10,204 交易量

99%

喬·埃文斯

$1,398 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch holds a commanding 98% implied probability on Polymarket as the Idaho Republican Senate primary approaches on May 19, driven by his three-term tenure, strong party establishment backing—including reported support from President Trump—and challengers' limited name recognition and fundraising. Joe Evans, a U.S. Army veteran and political newcomer, trails at 2% alongside minor candidates Denny LaVé and Josh Roy, with no recent polls indicating competitive traction despite absentee ballots now circulating. Historical base rates favor incumbents in safe-state primaries absent scandals, though late-breaking health issues for the 83-year-old Risch, a voting surge for challengers, or unforeseen endorsements could narrow the gap in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.

If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$11,602
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch holds a commanding 98% implied probability on Polymarket as the Idaho Republican Senate primary approaches on May 19, driven by his three-term tenure, strong party establishment backing—including reported support from President Trump—and challengers' limited name recognition and fundraising. Joe Evans, a U.S. Army veteran and political newcomer, trails at 2% alongside minor candidates Denny LaVé and Josh Roy, with no recent polls indicating competitive traction despite absentee ballots now circulating. Historical base rates favor incumbents in safe-state primaries absent scandals, though late-breaking health issues for the 83-year-old Risch, a voting surge for challengers, or unforeseen endorsements could narrow the gap in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.

If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$11,602
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"愛達荷州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "吉姆·里施" at 99%, followed by "喬·埃文斯" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "愛達荷州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $11.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "愛達荷州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "愛達荷州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "吉姆·里施" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "喬·埃文斯" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "愛達荷州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.