Charles Booker's commanding 86% implied probability in the Kentucky Democratic Senate primary reflects his sustained polling lead over Amy McGrath and a crowded field, driven by recent Emerson and RCP averages showing him ahead by double digits among likely voters. Grassroots momentum from his rejection of corporate PAC money, progressive pledges on Medicare for All and economic justice, and strong debate performances at April forums in Paducah and Louisville have solidified his frontrunner status ahead of the May 19 primary. McGrath's 7.5% share persists via establishment endorsements like the Herald-Leader's recent backing, but trails amid voter fatigue from her 2020 runs; minor candidates like Stevenson and Romans linger below 2% with negligible recent catalysts. Low-turnout primaries historically favor motivated bases, amplifying Booker's edge in this open seat race post-McConnell.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於查爾斯·布克 86%
艾米·麥格拉斯 8%
Dale Romans 1.1%
賈里德·蘭德爾 1.0%
$40,755 交易量
$40,755 交易量
查爾斯·布克
86%
艾米·麥格拉斯
8%
Dale Romans
1%
賈里德·蘭德爾
1%
潘蜜拉·史蒂文森
1%
喬爾·威利特
1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
文森特·湯普森
<1%
查爾斯·布克 86%
艾米·麥格拉斯 8%
Dale Romans 1.1%
賈里德·蘭德爾 1.0%
$40,755 交易量
$40,755 交易量
查爾斯·布克
86%
艾米·麥格拉斯
8%
Dale Romans
1%
賈里德·蘭德爾
1%
潘蜜拉·史蒂文森
1%
喬爾·威利特
1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
文森特·湯普森
<1%
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Charles Booker's commanding 86% implied probability in the Kentucky Democratic Senate primary reflects his sustained polling lead over Amy McGrath and a crowded field, driven by recent Emerson and RCP averages showing him ahead by double digits among likely voters. Grassroots momentum from his rejection of corporate PAC money, progressive pledges on Medicare for All and economic justice, and strong debate performances at April forums in Paducah and Louisville have solidified his frontrunner status ahead of the May 19 primary. McGrath's 7.5% share persists via establishment endorsements like the Herald-Leader's recent backing, but trails amid voter fatigue from her 2020 runs; minor candidates like Stevenson and Romans linger below 2% with negligible recent catalysts. Low-turnout primaries historically favor motivated bases, amplifying Booker's edge in this open seat race post-McConnell.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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