Josh Turek leads Iowa’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary with strong trader consensus, driven by millions in recent outside spending from VoteVets and high-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg and former Sen. Tom Harkin. State Rep. Turek has emphasized electability and “prairie populism” in the final weeks before the June 2 primary, positioning himself to appeal to independents and moderate Republicans in a general election against the likely GOP nominee. State Sen. Zach Wahls trails after debates focused on differences over immigration policy and campaign finance, though both candidates remain competitive in head-to-head polling. The market reflects traders’ assessment that Turek’s organizational and financial advantages have solidified his path to the nomination.