OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 initially raised hopes for a late-2026 listing, but internal deliberations reported later that month shifted consensus toward a 2027 timeline. Leadership, including CEO Sam Altman, reportedly views a sub-$1 trillion valuation as unacceptable, prompting a preference to wait rather than list at the company’s most recent private valuation of roughly $730–850 billion. Strong revenue growth near $2 billion monthly and heavy compute spending underscore the need for a premium debut, while recent market volatility—highlighted by SpaceX’s debut—has reinforced caution among advisers. With no pre-IPO investor meetings or firm 2026 schedule confirmed as of mid-year, traders see limited catalysts capable of accelerating a $1 trillion-plus offering before the end of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
27% 機率
$296,452 交易量
$296,452 交易量
2026-12-31
是
27% 機率
$296,452 交易量
$296,452 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 initially raised hopes for a late-2026 listing, but internal deliberations reported later that month shifted consensus toward a 2027 timeline. Leadership, including CEO Sam Altman, reportedly views a sub-$1 trillion valuation as unacceptable, prompting a preference to wait rather than list at the company’s most recent private valuation of roughly $730–850 billion. Strong revenue growth near $2 billion monthly and heavy compute spending underscore the need for a premium debut, while recent market volatility—highlighted by SpaceX’s debut—has reinforced caution among advisers. With no pre-IPO investor meetings or firm 2026 schedule confirmed as of mid-year, traders see limited catalysts capable of accelerating a $1 trillion-plus offering before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ET
交易量
$296,452結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 initially raised hopes for a late-2026 listing, but internal deliberations reported later that month shifted consensus toward a 2027 timeline. Leadership, including CEO Sam Altman, reportedly views a sub-$1 trillion valuation as unacceptable, prompting a preference to wait rather than list at the company’s most recent private valuation of roughly $730–850 billion. Strong revenue growth near $2 billion monthly and heavy compute spending underscore the need for a premium debut, while recent market volatility—highlighted by SpaceX’s debut—has reinforced caution among advisers. With no pre-IPO investor meetings or firm 2026 schedule confirmed as of mid-year, traders see limited catalysts capable of accelerating a $1 trillion-plus offering before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
交易量
$296,452結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 initially raised hopes for a late-2026 listing, but internal deliberations reported later that month shifted consensus toward a 2027 timeline. Leadership, including CEO Sam Altman, reportedly views a sub-$1 trillion valuation as unacceptable, prompting a preference to wait rather than list at the company’s most recent private valuation of roughly $730–850 billion. Strong revenue growth near $2 billion monthly and heavy compute spending underscore the need for a premium debut, while recent market volatility—highlighted by SpaceX’s debut—has reinforced caution among advisers. With no pre-IPO investor meetings or firm 2026 schedule confirmed as of mid-year, traders see limited catalysts capable of accelerating a $1 trillion-plus offering before the end of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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