Strong presales and late-August tracking reports have positioned the 44-47 million dollar range as the market’s clear favorite, carrying over half the implied probability. Industry forecasts from Box Office Theory and Empire City Box Office converge on a $40-50 million domestic opening for the September 11 release, fueled by the star power of returning leads Sandra Bullock and Nicole Kidman, a supporting ensemble including Joey King and Lee Pace, and the broader wave of 1990s nostalgia titles. Limited September competition further supports the mid-40s consensus, while earlier lower-range estimates have been revised upward as presale data solidified. Traders appear to be pricing in these verifiable industry signals rather than speculating on last-minute shifts ahead of the post-Labor Day debut.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《實用魔法2》首映週末票房
少於3,800萬 15%
5100萬以上 14%
4700萬-5100萬 14%
3,800萬-4,100萬 13%
少於3,800萬
15%
3,800萬-4,100萬
13%
4100萬-4400萬
13%
4,400萬至4,700萬
54%
4700萬-5100萬
14%
5100萬以上
14%
少於3,800萬 15%
5100萬以上 14%
4700萬-5100萬 14%
3,800萬-4,100萬 13%
少於3,800萬
15%
3,800萬-4,100萬
13%
4100萬-4400萬
13%
4,400萬至4,700萬
54%
4700萬-5100萬
14%
5100萬以上
14%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Sep 2, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Strong presales and late-August tracking reports have positioned the 44-47 million dollar range as the market’s clear favorite, carrying over half the implied probability. Industry forecasts from Box Office Theory and Empire City Box Office converge on a $40-50 million domestic opening for the September 11 release, fueled by the star power of returning leads Sandra Bullock and Nicole Kidman, a supporting ensemble including Joey King and Lee Pace, and the broader wave of 1990s nostalgia titles. Limited September competition further supports the mid-40s consensus, while earlier lower-range estimates have been revised upward as presale data solidified. Traders appear to be pricing in these verifiable industry signals rather than speculating on last-minute shifts ahead of the post-Labor Day debut.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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