**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** has sustained exceptional box office momentum into its sixth weekend, with traders assigning a 96.5% implied probability to a $15 million-plus gross. Its record $360 million opening, followed by steady holds through the first five frames—including a $22.5 million fifth weekend—reflect strong audience retention and franchise appeal for the Tom Holland-led Marvel title. Daily grosses remain competitive even as theater counts decline, supported by positive critical reception and minimal competition during the Labor Day holiday frame. An upset below $15 million would require an unusually sharp drop-off or external factors like weather disruptions, though historical precedent for similar tentpoles makes that outcome unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《蜘蛛人：全新一天》第六週末票房
《蜘蛛人：全新一天》第六週末票房
1500萬+ 96.2%
1,400萬－1,500萬 4.0%
1300-1400萬 <1%
少於1100萬 <1%
最新
$25,223 交易量
最新
$25,223 交易量
2026-09-06
少於1100萬
<1%
1,100萬-1,200萬
<1%
1200萬至1300萬
<1%
1300-1400萬
1%
1,400萬－1,500萬
4%
1500萬+
96%
1500萬+ 96.2%
1,400萬－1,500萬 4.0%
1300-1400萬 <1%
少於1100萬 <1%
最新
$25,223 交易量
最新
$25,223 交易量
2026-09-06
少於1100萬
$1,709 交易量
<1%
1,100萬-1,200萬
$1,802 交易量
<1%
1200萬至1300萬
$1,653 交易量
<1%
1300-1400萬
$3,187 交易量
1%
1,400萬－1,500萬
$5,209 交易量
4%
1500萬+
$11,663 交易量
96%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** has sustained exceptional box office momentum into its sixth weekend, with traders assigning a 96.5% implied probability to a $15 million-plus gross. Its record $360 million opening, followed by steady holds through the first five frames—including a $22.5 million fifth weekend—reflect strong audience retention and franchise appeal for the Tom Holland-led Marvel title. Daily grosses remain competitive even as theater counts decline, supported by positive critical reception and minimal competition during the Labor Day holiday frame. An upset below $15 million would require an unusually sharp drop-off or external factors like weather disruptions, though historical precedent for similar tentpoles makes that outcome unlikely.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
交易量
$25,223結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ETThis market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** has sustained exceptional box office momentum into its sixth weekend, with traders assigning a 96.5% implied probability to a $15 million-plus gross. Its record $360 million opening, followed by steady holds through the first five frames—including a $22.5 million fifth weekend—reflect strong audience retention and franchise appeal for the Tom Holland-led Marvel title. Daily grosses remain competitive even as theater counts decline, supported by positive critical reception and minimal competition during the Labor Day holiday frame. An upset below $15 million would require an unusually sharp drop-off or external factors like weather disruptions, though historical precedent for similar tentpoles makes that outcome unlikely.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$25,223結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ET**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** has sustained exceptional box office momentum into its sixth weekend, with traders assigning a 96.5% implied probability to a $15 million-plus gross. Its record $360 million opening, followed by steady holds through the first five frames—including a $22.5 million fifth weekend—reflect strong audience retention and franchise appeal for the Tom Holland-led Marvel title. Daily grosses remain competitive even as theater counts decline, supported by positive critical reception and minimal competition during the Labor Day holiday frame. An upset below $15 million would require an unusually sharp drop-off or external factors like weather disruptions, though historical precedent for similar tentpoles makes that outcome unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions