Strong Thursday previews of $4.7 million have anchored trader expectations for a modest domestic opening in the low $30 millions for the Warner Bros. sequel, despite earlier tracking that reached into the mid-$40s. Mixed reviews at 36% on Rotten Tomatoes echo the original film's critical reception, tempering broader audience turnout even as nostalgia for the 1998 cult favorite and the star power of Sandra Bullock and Nicole Kidman draw core female viewers during the fall spooky-season window. With a $75 million budget and limited direct competition after displacing Spider-Man: Brand New Day, the market-implied odds reflect caution around legs and word-of-mouth following the September 10 release. Key catalysts ahead include Friday and Saturday actuals that could clarify whether the film holds in the sub-$32 million range or pushes toward the upper end of current projections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《實用魔法2》首映週末票房(低打)
低於3200萬 93%
3200萬-3400萬 8%
3400萬-3600萬 1.9%
3600萬-3800萬 <1%
$12,126 交易量
$12,126 交易量
低於3200萬
93%
3200萬-3400萬
8%
3400萬-3600萬
2%
3600萬-3800萬
1%
3,800萬美元以上
1%
低於3200萬 93%
3200萬-3400萬 8%
3400萬-3600萬 1.9%
3600萬-3800萬 <1%
$12,126 交易量
$12,126 交易量
低於3200萬
93%
3200萬-3400萬
8%
3400萬-3600萬
2%
3600萬-3800萬
1%
3,800萬美元以上
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 10:21 AM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Strong Thursday previews of $4.7 million have anchored trader expectations for a modest domestic opening in the low $30 millions for the Warner Bros. sequel, despite earlier tracking that reached into the mid-$40s. Mixed reviews at 36% on Rotten Tomatoes echo the original film's critical reception, tempering broader audience turnout even as nostalgia for the 1998 cult favorite and the star power of Sandra Bullock and Nicole Kidman draw core female viewers during the fall spooky-season window. With a $75 million budget and limited direct competition after displacing Spider-Man: Brand New Day, the market-implied odds reflect caution around legs and word-of-mouth following the September 10 release. Key catalysts ahead include Friday and Saturday actuals that could clarify whether the film holds in the sub-$32 million range or pushes toward the upper end of current projections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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