Neon’s limited 1,560-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi thriller *Hope* on September 9 has produced modest tracking that underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for an opening weekend below $6 million. The film posted a record $1.1 million opening day for a Korean title and the highest per-theater average among wide releases, yet it faces direct competition from Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* and the continuing run of *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*. Positive North American reviews and strong presales in major markets provide some momentum, but the 2-hour-40-minute runtime and mixed South Korean reception limit broader appeal. An upset into the $6–7 million range would require outsized word-of-mouth or exceptional audience holdover through the September 11–13 frame.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《希望》周末首映票房
低於600萬 96.0%
600萬至700萬 3.0%
700萬-800萬 1.1%
900萬-1000萬 1.0%
$202,809 交易量
$202,809 交易量
低於600萬
96%
600萬至700萬
3%
700萬-800萬
1%
800萬-900萬
1%
900萬-1000萬
1%
一千萬以上
1%
低於600萬 96.0%
600萬至700萬 3.0%
700萬-800萬 1.1%
900萬-1000萬 1.0%
$202,809 交易量
$202,809 交易量
低於600萬
96%
600萬至700萬
3%
700萬-800萬
1%
800萬-900萬
1%
900萬-1000萬
1%
一千萬以上
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Neon’s limited 1,560-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi thriller *Hope* on September 9 has produced modest tracking that underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for an opening weekend below $6 million. The film posted a record $1.1 million opening day for a Korean title and the highest per-theater average among wide releases, yet it faces direct competition from Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* and the continuing run of *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*. Positive North American reviews and strong presales in major markets provide some momentum, but the 2-hour-40-minute runtime and mixed South Korean reception limit broader appeal. An upset into the $6–7 million range would require outsized word-of-mouth or exceptional audience holdover through the September 11–13 frame.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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