British authorities arrested Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor in February 2026 on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his former role as a trade envoy and disclosed emails involving Jeffrey Epstein, marking the first such detention of a senior royal in centuries. He was released under investigation without charges, and subsequent police appeals for witnesses plus planned interviews with Virginia Giuffre’s family have produced no indictments through mid-2026. The common-law offense carries a maximum life sentence, yet Crown Prosecution Service standards demand clear evidence of willful abuse of office, a threshold rarely met in comparable cases. Traders assign 97.2% probability to “No” because the inquiry remains at an early evidentiary stage with substantial procedural and evidentiary hurdles before any conviction or imprisonment could occur. Late developments such as formal charges followed by a guilty verdict could still shift outcomes, though these remain distant contingencies at present.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$221,001 交易量
$221,001 交易量
是
$221,001 交易量
$221,001 交易量
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...British authorities arrested Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor in February 2026 on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his former role as a trade envoy and disclosed emails involving Jeffrey Epstein, marking the first such detention of a senior royal in centuries. He was released under investigation without charges, and subsequent police appeals for witnesses plus planned interviews with Virginia Giuffre’s family have produced no indictments through mid-2026. The common-law offense carries a maximum life sentence, yet Crown Prosecution Service standards demand clear evidence of willful abuse of office, a threshold rarely met in comparable cases. Traders assign 97.2% probability to “No” because the inquiry remains at an early evidentiary stage with substantial procedural and evidentiary hurdles before any conviction or imprisonment could occur. Late developments such as formal charges followed by a guilty verdict could still shift outcomes, though these remain distant contingencies at present.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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