Recent polling averages place the PSOE in a tight contest with the PP ahead of the November 29 snap election, with projected seat totals for the Socialists clustering in the 108-119 range across most private surveys. The left-wing vote remains fragmented after the Broad Front and Podemos failed to reach a nationwide alliance, limiting potential coalition options for Pedro Sánchez. PP and Vox together project near or above the 176-seat majority threshold in most models, while PSOE support hovers around 26-29 percent amid voter concerns over housing costs, immigration, and recent scandals. Minor shifts in late-campaign turnout among regional parties or undecided voters in key provinces could still move PSOE totals within or outside the current leading market bands.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1H6H1D7D30DALL
View resolved

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions