The Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested ahead of the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely GOP voters and roughly 90 percent of the electorate locked in from the March primary. Heavy negative advertising from both campaigns, including personal attacks funded by Cornyn’s significant spending advantage, has failed to produce decisive shifts, as third-place voters from Wesley Hunt have split without delivering a clear edge. This dynamic has concentrated trader expectations on narrow victory margins, reflecting the race’s limited undecided share and the structural barriers each candidate faces in expanding support before ballots close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Paxton 6–9% 23%
Cornyn 少於 3% 19.9%
帕克斯頓9%以上 16.2%
Paxton 3–6% 14%
$59,275 交易量
$59,275 交易量
2026-05-25
帕克斯頓9%以上
16%
Paxton 6–9%
23%
Paxton 3–6%
14%
帕克斯頓 <3%
11%
Cornyn 少於 3%
20%
科寧 3–6%
7%
科寧 6–9%
5%
科寧9%+
10%
Paxton 6–9% 23%
Cornyn 少於 3% 19.9%
帕克斯頓9%以上 16.2%
Paxton 3–6% 14%
$59,275 交易量
$59,275 交易量
2026-05-25
帕克斯頓9%以上
$11,914 交易量
16%
Paxton 6–9%
$6,727 交易量
23%
Paxton 3–6%
$5,750 交易量
14%
帕克斯頓 <3%
$7,085 交易量
11%
Cornyn 少於 3%
$5,174 交易量
20%
科寧 3–6%
$5,243 交易量
7%
科寧 6–9%
$5,306 交易量
5%
科寧9%+
$12,076 交易量
10%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested ahead of the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely GOP voters and roughly 90 percent of the electorate locked in from the March primary. Heavy negative advertising from both campaigns, including personal attacks funded by Cornyn’s significant spending advantage, has failed to produce decisive shifts, as third-place voters from Wesley Hunt have split without delivering a clear edge. This dynamic has concentrated trader expectations on narrow victory margins, reflecting the race’s limited undecided share and the structural barriers each candidate faces in expanding support before ballots close.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
交易量
$59,275結束日期
2026-05-25市場開放時間
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested ahead of the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely GOP voters and roughly 90 percent of the electorate locked in from the March primary. Heavy negative advertising from both campaigns, including personal attacks funded by Cornyn’s significant spending advantage, has failed to produce decisive shifts, as third-place voters from Wesley Hunt have split without delivering a clear edge. This dynamic has concentrated trader expectations on narrow victory margins, reflecting the race’s limited undecided share and the structural barriers each candidate faces in expanding support before ballots close.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$59,275結束日期
2026-05-25市場開放時間
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested ahead of the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely GOP voters and roughly 90 percent of the electorate locked in from the March primary. Heavy negative advertising from both campaigns, including personal attacks funded by Cornyn’s significant spending advantage, has failed to produce decisive shifts, as third-place voters from Wesley Hunt have split without delivering a clear edge. This dynamic has concentrated trader expectations on narrow victory margins, reflecting the race’s limited undecided share and the structural barriers each candidate faces in expanding support before ballots close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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