Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat centered on Knoxville and surrounding East Tennessee counties, where voters have consistently delivered double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Tim Burchett benefits from established name recognition, fundraising advantages, and a district partisan voting index that favors Republicans by roughly 17 points or more. The August 2026 primaries produced Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett to face Burchett in the November general election, yet forecasters across outlets continue to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural fundamentals and the absence of recent polling or developments indicating a competitive contest. A late-breaking scandal, major health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could still shift probabilities, though such outcomes lack supporting indicators at present.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,042 交易量
$28,042 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
94%
民主黨
7%
$28,042 交易量
$28,042 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$19,235 交易量
94%
民主黨
$8,807 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat centered on Knoxville and surrounding East Tennessee counties, where voters have consistently delivered double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Tim Burchett benefits from established name recognition, fundraising advantages, and a district partisan voting index that favors Republicans by roughly 17 points or more. The August 2026 primaries produced Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett to face Burchett in the November general election, yet forecasters across outlets continue to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural fundamentals and the absence of recent polling or developments indicating a competitive contest. A late-breaking scandal, major health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could still shift probabilities, though such outcomes lack supporting indicators at present.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$28,042結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat centered on Knoxville and surrounding East Tennessee counties, where voters have consistently delivered double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Tim Burchett benefits from established name recognition, fundraising advantages, and a district partisan voting index that favors Republicans by roughly 17 points or more. The August 2026 primaries produced Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett to face Burchett in the November general election, yet forecasters across outlets continue to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural fundamentals and the absence of recent polling or developments indicating a competitive contest. A late-breaking scandal, major health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could still shift probabilities, though such outcomes lack supporting indicators at present.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,042結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat centered on Knoxville and surrounding East Tennessee counties, where voters have consistently delivered double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Tim Burchett benefits from established name recognition, fundraising advantages, and a district partisan voting index that favors Republicans by roughly 17 points or more. The August 2026 primaries produced Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett to face Burchett in the November general election, yet forecasters across outlets continue to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural fundamentals and the absence of recent polling or developments indicating a competitive contest. A late-breaking scandal, major health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could still shift probabilities, though such outcomes lack supporting indicators at present.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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