Recent polling from mid-July shows President Trump's job approval hovering between 36% and 40%, driven primarily by voter concerns over the economy, inflation, and cost of living alongside dissatisfaction with U.S. handling of the Iran conflict and rising gas prices. Multiple surveys, including those from Pew, Emerson, Washington Post/Ipsos, and CNBC, reflect net approval ratings in the -17 to -24 range with limited movement over recent weeks. These steady but low readings keep the July 31 outcome tightly contested across the 38–40 band, as traders weigh the absence of immediate catalysts against the potential for late polling shifts from economic data releases or diplomatic developments before month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於低於38.0 39%
38.5–38.9 39%
39.0–39.4 39%
38.0–38.4 39%
低於38.0
39%
38.0–38.4
39%
38.5–38.9
39%
39.0–39.4
39%
39.5–39.9
39%
40.0以上
39%
低於38.0 39%
38.5–38.9 39%
39.0–39.4 39%
38.0–38.4 39%
低於38.0
39%
38.0–38.4
39%
38.5–38.9
39%
39.0–39.4
39%
39.5–39.9
39%
40.0以上
39%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間: Jul 24, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from mid-July shows President Trump's job approval hovering between 36% and 40%, driven primarily by voter concerns over the economy, inflation, and cost of living alongside dissatisfaction with U.S. handling of the Iran conflict and rising gas prices. Multiple surveys, including those from Pew, Emerson, Washington Post/Ipsos, and CNBC, reflect net approval ratings in the -17 to -24 range with limited movement over recent weeks. These steady but low readings keep the July 31 outcome tightly contested across the 38–40 band, as traders weigh the absence of immediate catalysts against the potential for late polling shifts from economic data releases or diplomatic developments before month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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