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icon for 特朗普在7月31日的支持率?

特朗普在7月31日的支持率?

icon for 特朗普在7月31日的支持率?

特朗普在7月31日的支持率?

低於38.0 39%

38.5–38.9 39%

39.0–39.4 39%

38.0–38.4 39%

Polymarket
最新

低於38.0 39%

38.5–38.9 39%

39.0–39.4 39%

38.0–38.4 39%

Polymarket
最新

低於38.0

$0 交易量

39%

38.0–38.4

$0 交易量

39%

38.5–38.9

$0 交易量

39%

39.0–39.4

$0 交易量

39%

39.5–39.9

$0 交易量

39%

40.0以上

$0 交易量

39%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from mid-July shows President Trump's job approval hovering between 36% and 40%, driven primarily by voter concerns over the economy, inflation, and cost of living alongside dissatisfaction with U.S. handling of the Iran conflict and rising gas prices. Multiple surveys, including those from Pew, Emerson, Washington Post/Ipsos, and CNBC, reflect net approval ratings in the -17 to -24 range with limited movement over recent weeks. These steady but low readings keep the July 31 outcome tightly contested across the 38–40 band, as traders weigh the absence of immediate catalysts against the potential for late polling shifts from economic data releases or diplomatic developments before month-end.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-07-31
市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from mid-July shows President Trump's job approval hovering between 36% and 40%, driven primarily by voter concerns over the economy, inflation, and cost of living alongside dissatisfaction with U.S. handling of the Iran conflict and rising gas prices. Multiple surveys, including those from Pew, Emerson, Washington Post/Ipsos, and CNBC, reflect net approval ratings in the -17 to -24 range with limited movement over recent weeks. These steady but low readings keep the July 31 outcome tightly contested across the 38–40 band, as traders weigh the absence of immediate catalysts against the potential for late polling shifts from economic data releases or diplomatic developments before month-end.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-07-31
市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普在7月31日的支持率?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "低於38.0" at 40%, followed by "38.5–38.9" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"特朗普在7月31日的支持率?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "特朗普在7月31日的支持率?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普在7月31日的支持率?" is "低於38.0" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "38.5–38.9" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普在7月31日的支持率?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.