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icon for Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統?

Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統?

icon for Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統?

Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統?

9% 機率
Polymarket
最新

9% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Félix Tshisekedi’s position remains secure through at least the end of 2026, as his second term extends until December 2028 under the current constitution. Recent statements from the president, including his May 2026 press conference in Kinshasa, signaled openness to a possible third term only through a popular referendum while highlighting the ongoing eastern conflict with M23 rebels as a potential factor that could affect the 2028 electoral timeline. No successful challenges to his authority, such as coups, legislative removals, or major institutional shifts, have materialized in the past year. Opposition criticism of constitutional revision proposals has not translated into immediate threats, and primary political actors continue to operate within the framework of his administration. These factors underpin trader consensus that the president will complete his current mandate without interruption by the specified date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,613
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 12, 2025, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Félix Tshisekedi’s position remains secure through at least the end of 2026, as his second term extends until December 2028 under the current constitution. Recent statements from the president, including his May 2026 press conference in Kinshasa, signaled openness to a possible third term only through a popular referendum while highlighting the ongoing eastern conflict with M23 rebels as a potential factor that could affect the 2028 electoral timeline. No successful challenges to his authority, such as coups, legislative removals, or major institutional shifts, have materialized in the past year. Opposition criticism of constitutional revision proposals has not translated into immediate threats, and primary political actors continue to operate within the framework of his administration. These factors underpin trader consensus that the president will complete his current mandate without interruption by the specified date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,613
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 12, 2025, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "齊塞克迪會在2026年12月31日前卸任剛果(金)總統嗎?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 12, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統?" is "齊塞克迪會在2026年12月31日前卸任剛果(金)總統嗎?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日之前就任剛果民主共和國總統?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.