Recent U.S. policy toward Cuba has emphasized expanded sanctions on officials, including prior designations against President Miguel Díaz-Canel for human rights concerns, alongside investigations targeting former leaders such as Raúl Castro for alleged involvement in the 1996 Brothers to the Rescue incident. The Department of Justice has pursued a multi-agency review of Cuban government figures for potential federal violations, yet no indictments or formal proceedings have targeted the sitting head of state as of mid-May 2026. Jurisdictional and diplomatic barriers to prosecuting a current foreign head of government, combined with the absence of DOJ signals indicating such a move before the June 30 resolution date, underpin trader expectations that charges against Díaz-Canel remain unlikely.