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科技·大型科技公司

What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?

icon for What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?
科技·大型科技公司

What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?

8月 3

Spotify

SpaceX

AMD

8月 3

Spotify

SpaceX

AMD

最新
2026-08-04
Polymarket

$4,086 交易量

Polymarket

Launch 10+ times

$216 交易量

66%

Data Center 5+ times

$150 交易量

52%

Elon / Musk 3+ times

$330 交易量

93%

Moon 3+ times

$120 交易量

42%

Fuel 3+ times

$0 交易量

50%

Data Center

$113 交易量

95%

Grok

$155 交易量

67%

IPO

$120 交易量

55%

Starship

$249 交易量

58%

Cursor

$632 交易量

90%

Mars

$866 交易量

78%

ISS / International Space Station

$499 交易量

69%

Tesla

$328 交易量

54%

Weather

$92 交易量

27%

Trump

$80 交易量

12%

-No Qualifying Event-

$135 交易量

2%

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of SpaceX currently scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfSpaceX’s first post-IPO earnings call on August 4, 2026, will center on Starlink’s Q2 Connectivity results, where consensus projects roughly $6.9 billion in total revenue amid 10.3 million subscribers and 35.9% segment margins. Traders are watching for updates on ARPU stabilization after recent price hikes, the pace of Starlink V3 satellite deployment via Starship in the second half of the year, and capex guidance that analysts model rising sharply to support AI and space segment scaling. Competitive pressure from rival LEO constellations and regulatory spectrum issues add uncertainty, while the staggered insider lock-up expiration tied to the report could influence sentiment on forward-looking statements about launch cadence and long-term profitability.

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of SpaceX currently scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
交易量
$4,086
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of SpaceX currently scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of SpaceX currently scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfSpaceX’s first post-IPO earnings call on August 4, 2026, will center on Starlink’s Q2 Connectivity results, where consensus projects roughly $6.9 billion in total revenue amid 10.3 million subscribers and 35.9% segment margins. Traders are watching for updates on ARPU stabilization after recent price hikes, the pace of Starlink V3 satellite deployment via Starship in the second half of the year, and capex guidance that analysts model rising sharply to support AI and space segment scaling. Competitive pressure from rival LEO constellations and regulatory spectrum issues add uncertainty, while the staggered insider lock-up expiration tied to the report could influence sentiment on forward-looking statements about launch cadence and long-term profitability.

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of SpaceX currently scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
交易量
$4,086
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of SpaceX currently scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Data Center" at 95%, followed by "Elon / Musk 3+ times" at 93%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?" is "Data Center" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elon / Musk 3+ times" at 93%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.