Recent CFTC guidance issued in March 2026 has clarified the self-certification pathway under Regulation 40.2 for event contracts, including those tied to sports outcomes, while urging designated contract markets to engage sports leagues on data integrity and compliance before filing. CME Group completed its first such self-certification in early April, locking implied probability near 100 percent and establishing precedent that other DCMs are now following. Platforms such as LedgerX, Railbird, and Aristotle show elevated trading volumes on mid-60s to low-80s odds, reflecting active preparations to meet the June 30 deadline amid competitive pressure to expand into sports-based products. Smaller or specialized DCMs face tighter timelines for required league consultations and data agreements, creating the main swing factors before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$110,125 交易量

Railbird
66%

阿里士多德
52%

小型交易所
29%

結算公司
8%

CBOE
7%

ForecastEx
6%

ICE
6%
$110,125 交易量

Railbird
66%

阿里士多德
52%

小型交易所
29%

結算公司
8%

CBOE
7%

ForecastEx
6%

ICE
6%
The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent CFTC guidance issued in March 2026 has clarified the self-certification pathway under Regulation 40.2 for event contracts, including those tied to sports outcomes, while urging designated contract markets to engage sports leagues on data integrity and compliance before filing. CME Group completed its first such self-certification in early April, locking implied probability near 100 percent and establishing precedent that other DCMs are now following. Platforms such as LedgerX, Railbird, and Aristotle show elevated trading volumes on mid-60s to low-80s odds, reflecting active preparations to meet the June 30 deadline amid competitive pressure to expand into sports-based products. Smaller or specialized DCMs face tighter timelines for required league consultations and data agreements, creating the main swing factors before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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