The Odyssey's dominant 79.5% market-implied probability stems from Christopher Nolan's summer 2026 release generating overwhelming early critical and industry consensus as the awards frontrunner, with predictors already forecasting double-digit nominations across Best Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, and technical categories like sound, VFX, and costumes, plus acting nods for Matt Damon and Anne Hathaway. Its scale, technical ambition, and precursor momentum echo Nolan's Oppenheimer success while outpacing rivals in guild and critics' circle tracking. Project Hail Mary sits at 4.9% on the strength of Ryan Gosling's spring performance buzz and Phil Lord & Christopher Miller's direction, though its earlier release has cooled relative to The Odyssey's summer surge. Dune: Messiah and Wild Horse Nine trail at 3.6% and 2.9% amid more limited current visibility, with the latter's Venice premiere and November rollout still ahead. Fall festivals and guild nominations remain key catalysts that could shift these trader-consensus odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於哪部電影將在第99屆奧斯卡金像獎中獲得最多奧斯卡提名?
奧德賽 80%
哈囉瑪莉計劃 4.9%
沙丘:救世主 3.6%
野馬九號 2.8%
$102,494 交易量
$102,494 交易量
奧德賽
80%
哈囉瑪莉計劃
5%
沙丘:救世主
4%
野馬九號
3%
社會清算
1%
新娘!
<1%
咆哮山莊
<1%
揭露日
<1%
奧德賽 80%
哈囉瑪莉計劃 4.9%
沙丘:救世主 3.6%
野馬九號 2.8%
$102,494 交易量
$102,494 交易量
奧德賽
80%
哈囉瑪莉計劃
5%
沙丘:救世主
4%
野馬九號
3%
社會清算
1%
新娘!
<1%
咆哮山莊
<1%
揭露日
<1%
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Odyssey's dominant 79.5% market-implied probability stems from Christopher Nolan's summer 2026 release generating overwhelming early critical and industry consensus as the awards frontrunner, with predictors already forecasting double-digit nominations across Best Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, and technical categories like sound, VFX, and costumes, plus acting nods for Matt Damon and Anne Hathaway. Its scale, technical ambition, and precursor momentum echo Nolan's Oppenheimer success while outpacing rivals in guild and critics' circle tracking. Project Hail Mary sits at 4.9% on the strength of Ryan Gosling's spring performance buzz and Phil Lord & Christopher Miller's direction, though its earlier release has cooled relative to The Odyssey's summer surge. Dune: Messiah and Wild Horse Nine trail at 3.6% and 2.9% amid more limited current visibility, with the latter's Venice premiere and November rollout still ahead. Fall festivals and guild nominations remain key catalysts that could shift these trader-consensus odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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