Recent releases from Anthropic (Claude Opus 5 and Mythos variants) and OpenAI (GPT-5.6 series) have driven top MathArena scores above 80% on recent math competitions, reflecting gains in extended reasoning and tool use. Moonshot AI’s Kimi models lead open-weight efforts near 70%, narrowing the gap with closed labs amid ongoing benchmarks on uncontaminated olympiad problems. Trader sentiment reflects steady capability gains through 2026, tempered by persistent challenges on proof-heavy tasks and the short window to year-end for further model iterations or training advances.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$112,479 交易量
2026-12-31
1575
85%
1600
29%
$112,479 交易量
1575
$33,047 交易量
85%
1600
$10,827 交易量
29%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases from Anthropic (Claude Opus 5 and Mythos variants) and OpenAI (GPT-5.6 series) have driven top MathArena scores above 80% on recent math competitions, reflecting gains in extended reasoning and tool use. Moonshot AI’s Kimi models lead open-weight efforts near 70%, narrowing the gap with closed labs amid ongoing benchmarks on uncontaminated olympiad problems. Trader sentiment reflects steady capability gains through 2026, tempered by persistent challenges on proof-heavy tasks and the short window to year-end for further model iterations or training advances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
交易量
$112,479結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases from Anthropic (Claude Opus 5 and Mythos variants) and OpenAI (GPT-5.6 series) have driven top MathArena scores above 80% on recent math competitions, reflecting gains in extended reasoning and tool use. Moonshot AI’s Kimi models lead open-weight efforts near 70%, narrowing the gap with closed labs amid ongoing benchmarks on uncontaminated olympiad problems. Trader sentiment reflects steady capability gains through 2026, tempered by persistent challenges on proof-heavy tasks and the short window to year-end for further model iterations or training advances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$112,479結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent releases from Anthropic (Claude Opus 5 and Mythos variants) and OpenAI (GPT-5.6 series) have driven top MathArena scores above 80% on recent math competitions, reflecting gains in extended reasoning and tool use. Moonshot AI’s Kimi models lead open-weight efforts near 70%, narrowing the gap with closed labs amid ongoing benchmarks on uncontaminated olympiad problems. Trader sentiment reflects steady capability gains through 2026, tempered by persistent challenges on proof-heavy tasks and the short window to year-end for further model iterations or training advances.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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