Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal framework grounded in Sharia principles, with the Supreme Leader, Guardian Council, and parliament exercising decisive control over any legislative changes. Same-sex relations stay criminalized under the penal code, and no formal bills, parliamentary debates, or official statements have advanced proposals for gay marriage in the past year. This structural alignment with conservative clerical authority underpins the 97.7% implied probability that legalization will not occur. Only a fundamental shift in regime leadership or constitutional overhaul could alter the trajectory, though such developments lie far outside current political conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$47,056 交易量
$47,056 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$47,056 交易量
$47,056 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal framework grounded in Sharia principles, with the Supreme Leader, Guardian Council, and parliament exercising decisive control over any legislative changes. Same-sex relations stay criminalized under the penal code, and no formal bills, parliamentary debates, or official statements have advanced proposals for gay marriage in the past year. This structural alignment with conservative clerical authority underpins the 97.7% implied probability that legalization will not occur. Only a fundamental shift in regime leadership or constitutional overhaul could alter the trajectory, though such developments lie far outside current political conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
交易量
$47,056結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal framework grounded in Sharia principles, with the Supreme Leader, Guardian Council, and parliament exercising decisive control over any legislative changes. Same-sex relations stay criminalized under the penal code, and no formal bills, parliamentary debates, or official statements have advanced proposals for gay marriage in the past year. This structural alignment with conservative clerical authority underpins the 97.7% implied probability that legalization will not occur. Only a fundamental shift in regime leadership or constitutional overhaul could alter the trajectory, though such developments lie far outside current political conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$47,056結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal framework grounded in Sharia principles, with the Supreme Leader, Guardian Council, and parliament exercising decisive control over any legislative changes. Same-sex relations stay criminalized under the penal code, and no formal bills, parliamentary debates, or official statements have advanced proposals for gay marriage in the past year. This structural alignment with conservative clerical authority underpins the 97.7% implied probability that legalization will not occur. Only a fundamental shift in regime leadership or constitutional overhaul could alter the trajectory, though such developments lie far outside current political conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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