Louisiana State Treasurer John Fleming has advanced to the June 27 Republican runoff for the U.S. Senate seat against Representative Julia Letlow after finishing second in the May 16 primary. Despite multiple reported approaches from Trump administration officials and allies offering positions such as a CDC deputy director role in exchange for withdrawing, Fleming has publicly declined these overtures both before and after qualifying. His self-funded campaign and continued participation as a vocal conservative candidate have solidified trader expectations that he will remain on the ballot through the runoff, with the 87.5% implied probability for no dropout reflecting this sustained resistance and lack of new withdrawal signals in recent weeks.