OpenAI's recent surge in frontier model releases, including GPT-5.5 on April 23—touted as its smartest yet for complex coding and research—and specialized variants like GPT-5.4-Cyber (April 15) for vulnerability detection and Daybreak (early May) for cybersecurity defense, has traders betting heavily on continued rapid iteration amid intensifying competition from Anthropic's Mythos and Google's Gemini updates. These developments reflect OpenAI's shift toward domain-specific large language models optimized for enterprise via the new Frontier platform, now in limited AWS preview, while public access lags behind safety-gated versions. Key watchpoints include potential announcements at upcoming developer events or earnings calls, though historical delays in scaling compute and regulatory scrutiny on AI safety could temper near-term expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$10,243 交易量
2026-05-31
5 月 31 日
17%
June 30
71%
September 30
94%
$10,243 交易量
5 月 31 日
$2,156 交易量
17%
June 30
$2,467 交易量
71%
September 30
$5,620 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's recent surge in frontier model releases, including GPT-5.5 on April 23—touted as its smartest yet for complex coding and research—and specialized variants like GPT-5.4-Cyber (April 15) for vulnerability detection and Daybreak (early May) for cybersecurity defense, has traders betting heavily on continued rapid iteration amid intensifying competition from Anthropic's Mythos and Google's Gemini updates. These developments reflect OpenAI's shift toward domain-specific large language models optimized for enterprise via the new Frontier platform, now in limited AWS preview, while public access lags behind safety-gated versions. Key watchpoints include potential announcements at upcoming developer events or earnings calls, though historical delays in scaling compute and regulatory scrutiny on AI safety could temper near-term expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
交易量
$10,243結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's recent surge in frontier model releases, including GPT-5.5 on April 23—touted as its smartest yet for complex coding and research—and specialized variants like GPT-5.4-Cyber (April 15) for vulnerability detection and Daybreak (early May) for cybersecurity defense, has traders betting heavily on continued rapid iteration amid intensifying competition from Anthropic's Mythos and Google's Gemini updates. These developments reflect OpenAI's shift toward domain-specific large language models optimized for enterprise via the new Frontier platform, now in limited AWS preview, while public access lags behind safety-gated versions. Key watchpoints include potential announcements at upcoming developer events or earnings calls, though historical delays in scaling compute and regulatory scrutiny on AI safety could temper near-term expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,243結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's recent surge in frontier model releases, including GPT-5.5 on April 23—touted as its smartest yet for complex coding and research—and specialized variants like GPT-5.4-Cyber (April 15) for vulnerability detection and Daybreak (early May) for cybersecurity defense, has traders betting heavily on continued rapid iteration amid intensifying competition from Anthropic's Mythos and Google's Gemini updates. These developments reflect OpenAI's shift toward domain-specific large language models optimized for enterprise via the new Frontier platform, now in limited AWS preview, while public access lags behind safety-gated versions. Key watchpoints include potential announcements at upcoming developer events or earnings calls, though historical delays in scaling compute and regulatory scrutiny on AI safety could temper near-term expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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