Recent hawkish remarks from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole elevated market-implied odds of a September rate hike, lifting 2-year Treasury yields above 4.3% and capping near-term equity gains despite resilient AI-driven earnings. The S&P 500 closed the week of August 24 at 7,711.76 after modest recovery from earlier pressure tied to sticky core PCE readings near 3.3%. Traders now focus on the August nonfarm payrolls report due September 4, alongside ISM manufacturing and JOLTS data, as the final labor print before the September FOMC blackout period. These releases will shape assessments of monetary policy tightening risks versus corporate profit momentum supporting current index levels around 7,700.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-09-04
↑ $800
41%
↑ $795
41%
↑ $790
6%
↑ $785
14%
↑ $780
33%
↑ $775
64%
↑ $770
59%
↓ 765美元
55%
↓ $760
28%
↓ $755
11%
↓ $750
14%
↓ $745
14%
↓ $740
14%
↓ $735
50%
$79 交易量
↑ $800
$0 交易量
41%
↑ $795
$0 交易量
41%
↑ $790
$0 交易量
6%
↑ $785
$0 交易量
14%
↑ $780
$0 交易量
33%
↑ $775
$0 交易量
64%
↑ $770
$0 交易量
59%
↓ 765美元
$27 交易量
55%
↓ $760
$32 交易量
28%
↓ $755
$20 交易量
11%
↓ $750
$0 交易量
14%
↓ $745
$0 交易量
14%
↓ $740
$0 交易量
14%
↓ $735
$0 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent hawkish remarks from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole elevated market-implied odds of a September rate hike, lifting 2-year Treasury yields above 4.3% and capping near-term equity gains despite resilient AI-driven earnings. The S&P 500 closed the week of August 24 at 7,711.76 after modest recovery from earlier pressure tied to sticky core PCE readings near 3.3%. Traders now focus on the August nonfarm payrolls report due September 4, alongside ISM manufacturing and JOLTS data, as the final labor print before the September FOMC blackout period. These releases will shape assessments of monetary policy tightening risks versus corporate profit momentum supporting current index levels around 7,700.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
交易量
$79結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent hawkish remarks from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole elevated market-implied odds of a September rate hike, lifting 2-year Treasury yields above 4.3% and capping near-term equity gains despite resilient AI-driven earnings. The S&P 500 closed the week of August 24 at 7,711.76 after modest recovery from earlier pressure tied to sticky core PCE readings near 3.3%. Traders now focus on the August nonfarm payrolls report due September 4, alongside ISM manufacturing and JOLTS data, as the final labor print before the September FOMC blackout period. These releases will shape assessments of monetary policy tightening risks versus corporate profit momentum supporting current index levels around 7,700.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
交易量
$79結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETRecent hawkish remarks from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole elevated market-implied odds of a September rate hike, lifting 2-year Treasury yields above 4.3% and capping near-term equity gains despite resilient AI-driven earnings. The S&P 500 closed the week of August 24 at 7,711.76 after modest recovery from earlier pressure tied to sticky core PCE readings near 3.3%. Traders now focus on the August nonfarm payrolls report due September 4, alongside ISM manufacturing and JOLTS data, as the final labor print before the September FOMC blackout period. These releases will shape assessments of monetary policy tightening risks versus corporate profit momentum supporting current index levels around 7,700.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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