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特朗普會在2026年底前赦免吉斯琳·麥克斯韋嗎?

icon for 特朗普會在2026年底前赦免吉斯琳·麥克斯韋嗎?

特朗普會在2026年底前赦免吉斯琳·麥克斯韋嗎?

12月 31

12月 31

10% 機率
Polymarket

$552,038 交易量

10% 機率
Polymarket

$552,038 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump holds broad clemency authority, yet trader consensus reflects high barriers to pardoning Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026. Recent House Oversight Committee discussions in April and May 2026 revealed internal Republican divisions over offering clemency in exchange for her testimony on Jeffrey Epstein’s network, though Chairman James Comer indicated he does not support such a step. Maxwell’s attorney has publicly sought clemency while noting the current political climate around Epstein files makes timing unfavorable. Strong opposition from survivors, Democrats, and Senate voices, combined with Trump’s prior statements that he has not considered the matter and would consult the Justice Department, has kept momentum low. These dynamics sustain the market’s view that institutional, legal, and reputational constraints outweigh any narrow incentives for action before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$552,038
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump holds broad clemency authority, yet trader consensus reflects high barriers to pardoning Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026. Recent House Oversight Committee discussions in April and May 2026 revealed internal Republican divisions over offering clemency in exchange for her testimony on Jeffrey Epstein’s network, though Chairman James Comer indicated he does not support such a step. Maxwell’s attorney has publicly sought clemency while noting the current political climate around Epstein files makes timing unfavorable. Strong opposition from survivors, Democrats, and Senate voices, combined with Trump’s prior statements that he has not considered the matter and would consult the Justice Department, has kept momentum low. These dynamics sustain the market’s view that institutional, legal, and reputational constraints outweigh any narrow incentives for action before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$552,038
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普會在2026年底前赦免吉斯琳·麥克斯韋嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "川普會在2026年底前赦免吉絲蘭·麥克斯韋嗎?" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普會在2026年底前赦免吉斯琳·麥克斯韋嗎?" has generated $552K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普會在2026年底前赦免吉斯琳·麥克斯韋嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普會在2026年底前赦免吉斯琳·麥克斯韋嗎?" is "川普會在2026年底前赦免吉絲蘭·麥克斯韋嗎?" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普會在2026年底前赦免吉斯琳·麥克斯韋嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.