Trader consensus prices a 97.2% implied probability on no criminal charges against Bill Gates in any U.S. federal or state jurisdiction by June 30, driven by the complete absence of active DOJ or FBI criminal investigations, grand jury proceedings, or formal indictments despite heightened scrutiny. Recent DOJ releases of Jeffrey Epstein files highlighted Gates' past associations but yielded no evidence of wrongdoing, prompting a House Oversight Committee transcribed interview rescheduled for June 10 testimony rather than prosecutorial action. Gates has denied illicit conduct and welcomed the opportunity to address lawmakers. While explosive revelations from the hearing could theoretically spur a special counsel probe, historical patterns show such congressional inquiries rarely result in charges within weeks, reinforcing trader confidence in the "No" outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$10,721 交易量
$10,721 交易量
是
$10,721 交易量
$10,721 交易量
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 97.2% implied probability on no criminal charges against Bill Gates in any U.S. federal or state jurisdiction by June 30, driven by the complete absence of active DOJ or FBI criminal investigations, grand jury proceedings, or formal indictments despite heightened scrutiny. Recent DOJ releases of Jeffrey Epstein files highlighted Gates' past associations but yielded no evidence of wrongdoing, prompting a House Oversight Committee transcribed interview rescheduled for June 10 testimony rather than prosecutorial action. Gates has denied illicit conduct and welcomed the opportunity to address lawmakers. While explosive revelations from the hearing could theoretically spur a special counsel probe, historical patterns show such congressional inquiries rarely result in charges within weeks, reinforcing trader confidence in the "No" outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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