Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 98.6% against President Trump's impeachment by June 30, driven by the Republican House majority—currently holding a slim 217-213 edge—that controls the chamber required to pass articles of impeachment. Despite isolated Democratic efforts, such as Rep. John Larson's April 7 filing of 13 articles tied to Iran policy threats, no procedural progress has occurred, with intra-party GOP unity and historical precedent against self-impeachment stifling momentum. The tight pre-midterm timeline precludes any Democratic flip until November elections. Realistic shifts would demand extraordinary bipartisan defections from a major scandal, unexpected vacancies altering the majority, or a fast-tracked procedural vote, though none appear imminent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$354,143 交易量
$354,143 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$354,143 交易量
$354,143 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 98.6% against President Trump's impeachment by June 30, driven by the Republican House majority—currently holding a slim 217-213 edge—that controls the chamber required to pass articles of impeachment. Despite isolated Democratic efforts, such as Rep. John Larson's April 7 filing of 13 articles tied to Iran policy threats, no procedural progress has occurred, with intra-party GOP unity and historical precedent against self-impeachment stifling momentum. The tight pre-midterm timeline precludes any Democratic flip until November elections. Realistic shifts would demand extraordinary bipartisan defections from a major scandal, unexpected vacancies altering the majority, or a fast-tracked procedural vote, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
交易量
$354,143結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 98.6% against President Trump's impeachment by June 30, driven by the Republican House majority—currently holding a slim 217-213 edge—that controls the chamber required to pass articles of impeachment. Despite isolated Democratic efforts, such as Rep. John Larson's April 7 filing of 13 articles tied to Iran policy threats, no procedural progress has occurred, with intra-party GOP unity and historical precedent against self-impeachment stifling momentum. The tight pre-midterm timeline precludes any Democratic flip until November elections. Realistic shifts would demand extraordinary bipartisan defections from a major scandal, unexpected vacancies altering the majority, or a fast-tracked procedural vote, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$354,188結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 98.6% against President Trump's impeachment by June 30, driven by the Republican House majority—currently holding a slim 217-213 edge—that controls the chamber required to pass articles of impeachment. Despite isolated Democratic efforts, such as Rep. John Larson's April 7 filing of 13 articles tied to Iran policy threats, no procedural progress has occurred, with intra-party GOP unity and historical precedent against self-impeachment stifling momentum. The tight pre-midterm timeline precludes any Democratic flip until November elections. Realistic shifts would demand extraordinary bipartisan defections from a major scandal, unexpected vacancies altering the majority, or a fast-tracked procedural vote, though none appear imminent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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